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Granger (daftar Referensi)

Written by Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM on 7/26/2008

Untuk Nofri di Padang yang menanyakan buku-buku referensi Metode Penelitian dengan menggunakan Granger Kausalitas, ini bukunya ya:

1) Metode Riset Untuk Bisnis & Ekonomi, bagaimana meneliti dan menulis Tesis?
Mudrajat Kuncoro, Phd
Penerbit Erlangga,
halaman 255

2) Pendekatan Populer dan Praktis Ekonometrika untuk Analisis Ekonomi dan Keuangan
Nachrowi D Nachrowi MSC, & Hardius Usman MSi
Lembaga Penerbit FEUI
Bab IX

IVVM = Suatu cara menemukan ide judul thesis

Written by Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM on 6/27/2008

Bagi banyak mahasiswa, menyelesaikan skripsi atau pun thesis merupakan suatu batu sandungan. Bagaimana tidak, skripsi dan thesis ibarat momok menakutkan mengingat inilah GOAL terakhir bagi mahasiswa yang ingin menyandang gelar Sarjana. Tak jarang penyelesaian skripsi menjadi berlarut-larut dan diselingi dengan cuti kuliah dengan alasan belum dapat judul, belum bisa maju sidang, judul yang tidak disetujui dosen pembimbing atau waktu yang kurang karena sibuk bekerja.

Berdasarkan pengalaman pribadi, dan tentu memperhatikan faktor external, ternyata ada satu ajian yang cukup ampuh dalam menyikapi masalah ide judul thesis. Kuncinya cuma 4 huruf yaitu : IVVM.

I = Idealisasi
V = Visualisasi
V = Verbalisasi
M = Materialisasi

Saya jelaskan satu per satu.
Idealisasi
Pikirkan hal yang jelek-jelek jika skripsi anda tidak selesai sekarang dan pikirkan apa yang baik-baik jika skripsi anda selesai sekarang. Apa tujuan anda kuliah dan mengapa dulu anda begitu ingin kuliah. Pikirkan berapa banyak uang dan waktu yang telah anda investasikan hingga anda mencapai apa yang anda dapat sekarang.

Visualisasi
Bayangkan dan ingatkan diri Anda selalu akan goal anda. Setidaknya 2x sehari: pagi hari ketika baru bangun tidur dan malam sebelum tidur. Bayangkan anda sedang mempresentasikan skripsi anda di depan teman-teman dan dosen. Bayangkan anda mendapat nilai A+ untuk skripsi anda dan bayangkan anda menjadi sarjana yang luar biasa.

Verbalisasi
Katakan pada diri sendiri bahwa anda sudah dekat dengan GOAL anda yaitu lulus dengan nilai sangat baik dan tepat waktu. Katakan bahwa skripsi anda adalah goal anda. Katakan dengan penuh semangat dan emosi.

Materialisasi
Bersiaplah menerima semua ide. Anda akan terkejut mendapati begitu banyaknya ide yang muncul. Ketika ide itu muncul jangan lewatkan..segera catat dan cari referensinya.

The evidence on the role of accounting conservatism in debt contracting

Written by Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM on 6/27/2008

By Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM
Part of abstract [The Thesis]

This study provides evidence on the role of accounting conservatism in debt contracting. I hypothesize that (i) there is positive association between conflicts of bondholders-shareholders over dividend policy and the use of conservative accounting (ii) there is positive association between bond ratings and the use of conservative accounting.

Conflicts of bondholders-shareholders arise because of default risk in that the firm cannot pay the maturity debt because of having not enough net assets. The unavailability of enough net assets is caused by dividend overpayment to shareholders. The alternative to prevent dividend overpayment is to consistently use the conservative accounting. The conservative accounting affects earnings in that it leads to conservative earnings and reduces the possibility of earnings management by the firm.

So, I hypothesize that firms facing conflicts of bondholders-shareholders over dividend policy will use conservative accounting. Conservatism is measured by the difference between net income and operating cash flow. The lower net income than cash flow means the firm defers more unrealized revenues and expense cost rapidly when incurred. It means, the firm use more conservative accounting. The conflicts are measured by the variability of ROA, dividend payment ratio and debt ratio.

The second hypothesis which investigates the association between bonds rating and the level of conservatism based on theory that the lower the firm’s default risk, the higher the bonds rating. The firms with conservative accounting is expected to have lower default risk in that conservatism prevent dividend overpayment which cause the firm’s net asset is not enough to pay maturity bonds.

The first model result supports the hypothesis that there is positive association between conflicts of bondholders-shareholders and the use of conservative accounting. For the second model, the result do not support the hypothesis that there is a positive association between the bonds rating and the use of conservative accounting. The association between conflicts and conservative accounting provides evidence on the role of accounting conservatism in facing conflicts over dividend policy.

Deep analysis please read the full thesis (only in Bahasa)

Cara Install SPSS

Written by Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM on 6/27/2008

SPSS sebagai software pengolah data statistik tentu sudah tidak asing lagi di telinga kita. Menanggapi pertanyaan dari seorang teman bagaimana cara install software ini ke komputer, berikut penjelasannya. Download di sini petunjuknya.

  1. Masukan CD installer SPSS ke CD ROM
  2. Browse CD kemudian cari setup.exe lalu klik 2 kali
  3. Proses install dimulai, klik Next terus sampai Finish
  4. Install selesai
Lanjutkan dengan membuat shortcutnya
  1. Masuk ke My Computer lalu ke C:\Program Files\SPSS\
  2. Cari spswin.exe
  3. Klik kanan lalu pilih create short cut
  4. Masih di C:\Program Files\SPSS, cari shortcut to spssswin.exe lalu klik kanan copy
  5. Lalu ke C:\Documents and Settings\All Users\Start Menu\Programs\SPSS for Windows
  6. Klik kanan paste
Cara membuka program: dari menu Start | All Program | SPSS for window | shortcut to spsswin.exe.

Download petunjuk install SPSS

Silahkah download

Written by Paula Widiastuti, SE, MSM on 6/27/2008

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